Stocks Rise, U.S. Yield Falls; Demand Weighs on Oil
 
 
 
 
 
 

Stocks Rise, U.S. Yield Falls; Demand Weighs on Oil

/ 09:36 AM January 14, 2021

Treasury yields fell on Wednesday after Federal Reserve officials steered clear of tightening monetary conditions anytime soon despite higher inflation expectations, while stocks and the dollar edged higher.

The U.S. benchmark yield was on track to post its first full-session decline in 2021, even as a jump in gasoline prices pushed inflation higher last month. Consumer prices are expected to run hotter in a couple of months. This is when March and April of 2020, which saw very low inflation, fall off the yearly reading.

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Several Fed policymakers pushed back against the idea of the Fed tapering its asset purchases any time soon, however.

The climb in yields is expected to resume, partly due to a massive stimulus package from the incoming administration of Democratic President-elect Joe Biden, who takes office on Jan. 20.

Stocks edged up as Europe was boosted by deals, and U.S. tech stocks were supported by a change of leadership at Intel Corp, which jumped 7%.

On Wall Street, The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 8.22 points, or 0.03%, to 31,060.47, the S&P 500 gained 8.65 points, or 0.23%, to 3,809.84, and the Nasdaq Composite added 56.52 points, or 0.43%, to 13,128.95.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose by 0.11%, and MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe gained a profit of 0.28%.

Emerging Market Stocks

Emerging market stocks rose 0.78%. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan closed 0.68% overnight higher, while Nikkei futures rose 0.92%.

The U.S. dollar index rose for the fourth time in five sessions, still not far from near three-year lows hit last week.

The greenback has found support from expectations of a continued economic recovery in the United States, even as countries in Europe resort to lockdowns to fend off a second COVID-19 wave.

“You see a continuance of the U.S. outperformance trade,” said Karl Schamotta. Schamotta is the chief market strategist at Cambridge Global Payments in Toronto.

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The dollar index rose 0.357%, with the euro down 0.42% to $1.2156.

The Japanese yen weakened 0.11% versus the greenback at 103.87 per dollar. All while the British pound was last trading at $1.3635, down 0.20% on the day.

An auction of $24 billion in 30-year bonds was well bid, further pressuring yields lower.

Benchmark 10-year notes last rose 13/32 in price to yield 1.0951%, from 1.138% late on Tuesday.

Oil prices fell as the threat of lower demand. This is due to rising global COVID-19 cases outweighed support from a greater-than-anticipated drop in U.S. crude inventories.

Governments across Europe announced tighter and longer coronavirus lockdowns and curbs. The global death toll was nearing 2 million, according to a Reuter’s tracker.

“While I see crude prices trading higher over the coming months, investors need to be mindful that the road to higher oil demand and prices will remain bumpy,” UBS oil analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

U.S. crude recently fell 0.6% to $52.89 per barrel, and Brent was at $56.04, down 0.95% on the day.

Spot gold dropped 0.4% to $1,848.05 an ounce. Silver fell 1.38% to $25.22.

Bitcoin last rose 6.73% to $36,324.69.

(Reporting by Rodrigo Campos; additional reporting by Sinéad Carew, Herbert Lash, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed and Leila Kearney in New York; Editing by Mark Heinrich, Alex Richardson, and Jonathan Oatis)

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